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Sam Smith Album Sales Forecast Adjusted Up, But Lana Del Rey Will Win

For the second time this week, the US sales forecast for Sam Smith’s debut “In the Lonely Hour” has been adjusted up.

Unfortunately for Smith, that improved estimate remains beneath the total expected of Lana Del Rey’s latest release “Ultraviolence.”

According to Hits Daily Double, Smith’s album is now tracking to move 150-160,000 copies this week. Initially pegged for a bow in the 125-150,000 range, its forecast was upgraded earlier this week to 140-160,000. The latest update says it will bow in the top half of that range.

Del Rey’s album, meanwhile, should do 180-190,000 in first week sales. Initially expected to do 175-200,000, a follow-up forecast said it was on track for a 170-180,000 bow. The refined estimate also positions it for a debut in the top half of the range.

Linkin Park’s “The Hunting Party” will debut in the 100-110,000 range, while Willie Nelson’s “Band of Brothers” looks safe for a 35-40,000 launch. Jennifer Lopez’ “AKA” has been adjusted down to 28-32,000, while deadmau5’s “while (1<2)” should do 27-30,000.

Hits Daily Double did not offer an update on Tiesto’s “A Town Called Paradise,” which was initially pacing for 12-15,000.

Written by Brian Cantor

Brian Cantor is the editor-in-chief for Headline Planet. He has been a leading reporter in the music, movie, television and sporting spaces since 2002.

Brian's reporting has been cited by major websites like BuzzFeed, Billboard, the New Yorker and The Fader -- and shared by celebrities like Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber and Nicki Minaj.

Contact Brian at brian.cantor[at]


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