Taylor Swift - exile ft. Bon Iver - Lyric Video screen | UMG
Although the “Big Four” Grammy awards inherently take center stage, certain genre categories can generate considerable buzz and conversation. That is definitely the case with this year’s star-studded race for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance.
When the odds first launched on the MyBookie digital sportsbook, Lady Gaga & Ariana Grande’s “Rain On Me” was the narrow favorite to win. Taylor Swift’s “exile (featuring bon iver)” was a close second, with BTS’ “Dynamite” claiming the third-best probability. Justin Bieber’s “Intentions (featuring Quavo)” and J Balvin, Dua Lipa, Bad Bunny & Tainy’s “Un Dia (One Day)” were distantly in fourth and fifth, respectively.
In late January, “exile” moved into the favorite position. “Rain On Me” dropped to #2 (albeit with no change in odds/payout); the other three songs stayed completely intact.
MyBookie has since removed the betting opportunity for Best Pop Duo/Group, but another sportsbook is now offering it. BetOnline, that book, has not changed the ranking from the late-January MyBookie update. “exile” is still the favorite, and “Un Dia” sill maintains the longest odds.
It is, however, offering much different lines. “exile” is now a more decisive favorite, for instance.
“Rain On Me” remains the #2 pick but with a decreased likelihood of winning, while “Dynamite” holds at #3 with a much stronger likelihood of winning. “Intentions” and “Un Dia” now register as even bigger longshots.
Betting lines are never a perfect science in any context, and they can be particularly inconsistent and erratic in entertainment categories (for which perceptions and betting trends are far less documented than in sports). Still, it is fun to evaluate betting opportunities in advance of the March 14 ceremony.
A recap of the Best Pop Duo/Group odds follows (lower number = considered more likely to win)
BetOnline Odds – March 4, 2021
exile -140
Rain On Me +225
Dynamite +250
Intentions +1400
Un Dia +1600
MyBookie Odds – January 26, 2021
exile +125
Rain On Me +150
Dynamite +400
Intentions +700
Un Dia +900
MyBookie Odds – December 13, 2020
Rain On Me +150
exile +200
Dynamite +400
Intentions +700
Un Dia +900
To read odds: If the number is negative, that is how much you would have to risk in order to win $100. If the number is positive, that is how much you would win if you risked $100.