Early 2021 Grammy Awards Betting Odds List Taylor Swift, Dua Lipa, Megan Thee Stallion As Favorites For Major Categories

Oddsmakers expect Taylor Swift to win a pair of “Big Four” trophies.

Taylor Swift - Folklore Promo Image by Beth Garrabrant, courtesy of Republic Records

Early betting odds have emerged for the 2021 Grammy Awards, and they position Taylor Swift, Dua Lipa, and Megan Thee Stallion as favorites for the key races.

Popular betting website MyBookie lists Taylor Swift’s “folklore” as a comfortable favorite for Album of the Year. Swift’s “Cardigan,” meanwhile, ranks as the favorite in the Song of the Year category.

Dua Lipa’s “Don’t Start Now” is the frontrunner in the Record of the Year category, while Megan Thee Stallion starts as a dominant favorite in the Best New Artist category.

Early lines for the “Big Four” races follow. It is important to note that the odds could certainly change in the weeks leading up to the Grammy ceremony. It is also worth noting that while oddsmakers typically get some of the major races correct, they rarely sweep the “Big Four” categories.

Last year, they correctly predicted Billie Eilish’s wins for Best New Artist and Album of the Year. They did not, however, list her “Bad Guy” as the favorite for Song of the Year (Lizzo’s “Truth Hurts” was the favorite) or Record of the Year (Lil Nas X and Billy Ray Cyrus’ “Old Town Road” was the favorite). She ended up sweeping all general field categories.

(Odds explanation: Negative number = how much you have to bet to win $100; Positive number = how much you win if you bet $100 / Lower numbers reflect a stronger probability of winning)

Album of the Year
Taylor Swift’s folklore -260 (favorite)
Dua Lipa’s Future Nostalgia +300
Post Malone’s Hollywood’s Bleeding +600
Coldplay’s Everyday Life +1000
Black Pumas’ Black Pumas (Deluxe) +2000
Jhene Aiko’s Chilombo +2000
Jacob Collier’s Djesse Vol. 3 +2000
HAIM’s Women In Music Pt 3 +20000

Record of the Year
Dua Lipa’s Don’t Start Now -280 (favorite)
Megan Thee Stallion’s Savage ft. Beyonce +300
Beyonce’s Black Parade +800
Billie Eilish’s everything i wanted +1000
Post Malone’s Circles +1200
DaBaby’s ROCKSTAR ft. Roddy Ricch +1400
Doja Cat’s Say So +1400
Black Pumas’ Colors +2500

Song of the Year
Taylor Swift’s cardigan -125 (favorite)
Dua Lipa’s Don’t Start Now +300
Beyonce’s Black Parade +500
H.E.R.’s I Can’t Breathe +700
Billie Eilish’s everything i wanted +900
Post Malone’s Circles +1000
Roddy Ricch’s The Box +1200
JP Saxe’s If The World Was Ending ft. Julia Michaels +1800

Best New Artist
Megan Thee Stallion -700 (favorite)
Phoebe Bridgers +575
Doja Cat +600
Ingrid Andress +1500
Kaytranada +1600
Noah Cyrus +1600
D Smoke +2500
Chika +3000

Written by Brian Cantor

Brian Cantor is the editor-in-chief for Headline Planet. He has been a leading reporter in the music, movie, television and sporting spaces since 2002.

Brian's reporting has been cited by major websites like BuzzFeed, Billboard, the New Yorker and The Fader -- and shared by celebrities like Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber and Nicki Minaj.

Contact Brian at brian.cantor[at]


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