Update: Despite hope to the contrary, it appears the initial sales forecast might have overstated interest in the new Mariah Carey album.

According to revised estimates from Hits Daily Double, Carey’s “Me. I Am Mariah…The Elusive Chanteuse” is now on track for an opening week sales total of 60-65,000. While the album is still expected to rank as the week’s strongest debut, it will likely fall short in its effort to claim #1 on the Billboard 200 overall album sales chart. Coldplay’s “Ghost Stories,” as of press time, is expected to repeat at #1.

The forecast for Austin Mahone’s new “The Secret” was reduced to 45-50,000. Cher Lloyd’s “Sorry I’m Late” is expected to move 18-20,000 first week copies.
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Thus far, Mariah Carey’s “Me. I Am Mariah…The Elusive Chanteuse” has been eluding record buyers.

According to Hits Daily Double, the diva’s latest release is tracking for an opening week total of just 65-70,000.

While the impact of Memorial Day might be stunting early purchasing, which would in turn produce an unfairly pessimistic forecast, it is clear the album is not pacing to be a blockbuster.

“Memoirs of an Imperfect Angel,” the album’s 2009 predecessor, opened to a considerably stronger sum of 168,000. And insofar as that tally was down significantly from the 463,000 moved by 2008′s “E=MC2,” it was hardly considered a rousing success.

Despite the soft forecast, Carey’s album will likely reign as the week’s top newcomer. Austin Mahone’s “The Secret” EP is pacing for 50-55,000, while Cher Lloyd’s “Sorry I’m Late” is on track for 17-20,000 opening week sales.

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